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Home/Aurora Ireland Renewables Add-On January 2019

Aurora Ireland Renewables Add-On January 2019

Aurora’s Ireland Renewables Add-On January 2019, builds on its Ireland Single Electricity Market Forecast released in December 2018. This new report presents a deep dive into renewable energy generation in SEM and I-SEM, encompassing policy and regulation updates, market and technology overviews, capture price forecasts and investment case analyses. The report also contains an update of Aurora’s central forecast from the H2 I-SEM Forecast.

The analysis draws on Aurora’s internal modelling capabilities, and much of the content has been developed through a detailed consultation process across private and public sector players.

Key messages from the first detailed look at the renewables in I-SEM include:

  • In-depth analysis of existing renewables policies and their interaction with the new I-SEM market arrangements
  • Capture prices for onshore wind and offshore wind drop below baseload by 10% by 2030, while solar capture prices stay 2% higher than baseload by the same date
  • Imbalance costs for wind rise from €1 to €2/MWh as renewable penetration increases
  • Pairing with battery allows solar to double its wholesale market revenues to over €120/kW/year

The underlying data in Excel format from the download section of EOS.

The next update of this report will be distributed in H2 2019.

If you would like to discuss the findings, please get in touch.

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