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Home/GB Wholesale Market Summary – January 2019

GB Wholesale Market Summary – January 2019

Aurora’s GB wholesale market report provides a monthly summary of key characteristics in the wholesale market, ranging from overviews of fundamental system drivers to estimates of major company performance and snapshots of individual plant operation.

Highlights of the January 2019 report include:

  1. With decreasing gas and coal prices, the average power prices in January decreased to £59.7/MWh, a £1.7/MWh fall from the previous month. However, the year on year power prices has increased by 22%.
  2. Sustained cold temperatures in January saw the average monthly demand increase by 7.7% compared to December, leading to a rise in monthly gas generation by 2.4 TWh.
  3. Wind assets saw gross profits fall by an average of 15%, as average wind capture prices and load factors fell by 7% and 4 percentage points respectively.
  4. Despite higher demand improving the gross margins of thermal assets, the negative performance by wind assets resulted in total monthly gross profits registering a modest increase of £6m.

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  • This forecast presents a deep and comprehensive overview of the GB power market, including fully detailed descriptions of energy and climate policies, generation technologies, demand, and fuel prices.

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  • Aurora’s System performance report provides a monthly snapshot of key operating characteristics for the GB power system. Which fuels are most used? Which power plants most profitable? How would a change in the price of gas or coal impact the system price through the dispatch?

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  • Aurora’s Company performance report presents a summary of the operational and financial performance of all major participants in the GB wholesale power market. The key statistics include companies’ revenues and profits, outputs, capacities, capture prices and load factors. All the metrics are presented for the entire generating portfolios, their subsets for each technology, as well as for individual assets. The report also presents the evolution of companies’ market shares over time.

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