SHARE
+44 (0) 1865 952 700 | contact@auroraer.com
Press enquiries

Insight

Home/GB Renewables Forecast – H1 2019

GB Renewables Forecast – H1 2019

Aurora is pleased to present its latest GB Renewables Forecast, H1 2019. This presents Aurora’s comprehensive view on the state of Renewables in the GB power market, and includes our latest outlook on subsidy-free business models, and regional differences in prices, production and capacity to 2040.

The analysis draws on our internal modelling capabilities, and much of the content has been developed through a detailed consultation process across private and public sector players.

Key messages from the report include:

  • Reforms within the Targeted Charging Review will impact transmission and distribution connected assets, increasing the uncertainty for renewables
  • The Contract for Difference Allocation Round 3 is expected to be dominated by offshore wind; mainland onshore wind and solar PV are prevented from participating
  • Perovskite layers for solar PV and onshore wind receiving planning permission for higher tip heights signals significant technological potential for renewables. Greater opportunities in energy trading will further aid the co-located solar PV plus storage business model
  • New build subsidy-free capacity reaches 8.6GW in 2030; capacity decreases since H2 2018 due to policy and market updates
  • Grid parity for subsidy-free projects can be achieved now for exceptional sites or where investors are willing to accept lower returns

The exhibits from the report, can be downloaded in PDF and the underlying data in Excel format from the download section of EOS.

If you would like to discuss the findings, please get in touch.

View Report

Our subscription services

Our subscription service provides you with long-term market forecasts, strategic insight reports, interactive client forums and access to our market data and analytics platform.

Interested? Please sign up to receive our complimentary monthly summary reports via email. Simply tick which reports you would like to receive. Please indicate your consent in the box provided and view our privacy policy.

If you would like further information on a particular subscription service or report please enter further information in the box provided.

 

 

  • Please find our privacy policy here

  • Aurora’s Company performance report presents a summary of the operational and financial performance of all major participants in the GB wholesale power market. The key statistics include companies’ revenues and profits, outputs, capacities, capture prices and load factors. All the metrics are presented for the entire generating portfolios, their subsets for each technology, as well as for individual assets. The report also presents the evolution of companies’ market shares over time.

    Read More
  • This forecast presents a deep and comprehensive overview of the GB power market, including fully detailed descriptions of energy and climate policies, generation technologies, demand, and fuel prices.

    Read More
  • Aurora’s latest Distributed and Flexible Energy Scenarios Report for H1 2018 presents Aurora’s central outlook for distributed and flexible energy alongside a number of plausible alternative scenarios – each of which provides an internally consistent view on market developments, deployment, and investment cases. This update also includes the addition of a new ‘High Interconnector’ scenario.

    Read More

Independent intelligence for the global energy transformation

Contact us