SHARE
+44 (0) 1865 952700 | contact@auroraer.com
Press enquiries
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Insight

Home/Aurora Ireland I-SEM Forecast – July 2020

Aurora Ireland I-SEM Forecast – July 2020

We are pleased to present our Ireland I-SEM Forecast for July 2020. This quarterly update serves to refresh the analysis provided in our April 2020 forecast with the latest commodity prices, market and modelling developments. The report presents an overview of electricity prices, distributions, capture prices, capacity and generation.

Key messages from the report include: 

  • Our Central baseload price is forecasted to rise from €34/MWh in 2020 to €67/MWh in 2025 and €73/MWh in 2040. The trend reverses beyond this point, with baseload prices declining to €68/MWh in 2050
  • Until 2025, slightly lower commodity prices, combined with lower demand, place downward pressure on baseload prices. Compared to our April 2020 report, baseload prices are lower on average by €2/MWh at an annual average of €51/MWh between 2020-2025
  • Between 2025 and 2035, the average annual baseload price increases slightly relative to our previous forecast to €1.5/MWh, as the downward revision to interconnector availability decreases the levels of interconnector imports from GB and France.

The underlying data is available in PDF and Excel format from the download section of EOS.

If you would like to discuss the findings or give feedback, please get in touch.

The next update of this report will be available in October 2020.

View Report

Our subscription services

Our subscription service provides you with long-term market forecasts, strategic insight reports, interactive client forums and access to our market data and analytics platform.

Interested? Please sign up to receive our complimentary monthly summary reports via email. Simply tick which reports you would like to receive. Please indicate your consent in the box provided and view our privacy policy.

If you would like further information on a particular subscription service or report please enter further information in the box provided.

 

 

  • Please find our privacy policy here

  • Aurora's Ireland I-SEM Forecast presents a holistic overview of the current and future state of the power markets on the island of Ireland, including deep analysis of energy and climate policies, generation technologies, demand evolution, fuel and carbon prices.

    Read More
  • Aurora's Ireland I-SEM Forecast presents a holistic overview of the current and future state of the power markets on the island of Ireland, including deep analysis of energy and climate policies, generation technologies, demand evolution, fuel and carbon prices.

    Read More
  • The GB Renewables ROC Forecast features an overview of the Renewable Obligation scheme and Aurora’s central price forecast for RO certificates.

    Read More

Independent intelligence for the global energy transformation

Contact us