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Home/German Power Market Forecast – August 2019

German Power Market Forecast – August 2019

This quarterly update presents Aurora’s comprehensive view on the state of the German power market, and includes our latest outlook on prices, generation, capacity, and asset performance to 2040.

Key highlights this quarter include:

  • We extend our forecast horizon to 2040, showing a plateauing average baseload price after 2035 as more merchant-risk renewables enter the market
  • Compared to our May 2019 report, power prices are higher with an average delta of 0.8 EUR/MWh between 2020 and 2035
  • This increase is mainly driven by lower wind onshore capacities and higher carbon prices in early 2020s

The exhibits from the report can be downloaded in PDF and the underlying data in Excel format from the download section of EOS.

If you would like to discuss the findings or become a subscriber, please get in touch.

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