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Home/North West Europe Gas System Performance – April 2019

North West Europe Gas System Performance – April 2019

Aurora’s gas system performance report provides a monthly snapshot of key operating characteristics for the European gas market. The key statistics include prices, volumes, trade, suppliers market share, indigenous production flexibility and storage provision for security of supply.

Highlights of our April 2019 report include:

  1. Gas prices: Prices fell by 10% month-on-month, continuing the downward trend seen in earlier months, due to the continued supply glut caused by mild Asian and European weather and a well supplied LNG market.
  2. Consumption: Gas consumption in NW Europe increased by 10% year-on-year, driven by an increase in non-power consumption in Germany and industrial and power sector consumption in France.
  3. Supply: LNG imports increased their share of European supply by 14%-points year-on-year, compensating for declines of 3%-points for indigenous production, 7%-points for Russian imports and 5%-points for Norwegian imports (storage share of supply increased 2%-points across the same time period).
    • Indigenous production: Dutch production was down 34% month-on-month (compensated by increased LNG imports) as the Groningen ramp-down continued. Year-on-year however, Dutch production was down only 1%. Consumption being lower by 0.9 bcm month-on-month in GB, led to production being 4%-points lower across the same time period.
    • Pipeline imports: Total pipelines imports decreased by 7% year-on-year, driven by 0.5 bcm lower flows from Norway and 0.8 bcm lower flows through non-Nord Stream routes from Russia (Czech and Polish routes in particular).
    • LNG: Lower LNG prices led to increased Dutch, French and UK imports month-on-month, with regasification terminal utilisation remaining elevated in April. Conversely, Belgian LNG imports decreased by 21% across the same time period, with 0.2 bcm each of lower imports from Germany and the Netherlands being compensated by 0.4 bcm increased pipeline flows from the UK to Belgium (instead of LNG).
  4. Storage: Net gas supply from storage was down 25% year-on-year, primarily driven by a decrease of gas injections in Dutch storage due to higher gas
    demand than the same period last year. However, both lower gas consumption month-on-month and the availability of cheap LNG on the market, led to increased gas injections in Belgium, the Netherlands, and Germany.

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